الأسواق

تاسي 10,933 -0.7% مؤشر الإمارات $19.82 +0.7% البورصة المصرية 51,443 -0.5% الذهب $4,010 +0% النفط $73.22 -0.9% S&P 500 7,358 -0.1% بيتكوين $61,270 +0.5%

Market Fundamentals

Key economic indicators for market analysis

Live Data

Indicator	What It Tells You	Current Value	Danger Signal	Status
Yield Curve	Recession probability via rate expectations	0.3 % 2Y: 4.16% · 10Y: 4.5% 2026-06-24	2yr > 10yr (inverted)	Normal
Fed Funds Rate	Cost of money, monetary policy stance	3.63 % 2026-06-23	Rapid hikes (>300bps/yr)	Normal
CPI / PCE	Inflation rate (consumer prices)	4.2 % YoY PCE: 4.1% YoY 2026-05-01	Above 5% sustained	Normal
PMI (ISM)	Manufacturing expansion/contraction	12605 2026-05-01	Below 50 = contraction	Normal
Unemployment	Labor market health	4.3 % 2026-05-01	Rising 0.5%+ from lows	Normal
M2 Money Supply	Total money + liquid deposits	5.6 % YoY 2026-05-01	+27% peak 2021 → inflation	Normal
Credit Spreads	Risk appetite (corporate vs Treasury)	0.74 % 2026-06-23	Widening >500bps = panic	Normal
Debt/GDP Ratio	Long-term debt sustainability	122.8 % 2026-01-01	Above 100% is concerning	Alert
Bank Lending Stds	Are banks tightening credit?	8.1 % net 2026-04-01	Tightening = recession ahead	Normal
LEI (Conf Board)	Composite of 10 leading indicators	99.85 index 2024-01-01	6+ months of decline	Normal

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